As defense organizations integrate artificial intelligence (AI) into evermore critical operations, especially those near the tactical edge with real-time decision making, the necessity of a standardized, robust framework for deployment and management of AI systems is increasing. In this paper, we propose a Prediction Management Framework (PMF) that aligns with the Department of Defense’s Ethical Principles for AI for ethical, governable, and interpretable deployments. We explore different requirements for the framework with inspiration drawn from various regulatory, safety, and communication standards. In support of these requirements, we offer recommendations and implementation guidance to provide comprehensive visibility into the system.
This study quantifies the impacts on high energy laser (HEL) air defense performance due to atmospheric effects in the
marine boundary layer driven by varying elevated aerosol layers. The simulations are run using several different
engagement geometries to more completely show the effects of aerosols. High adaptive optics are applied to reduce the
turbulence effects. The atmospheric effects are defined using the worldwide probabilistic climatic database available in
the High Energy Laser End-to-End Operational Simulation (HELEEOS) model. The anticipated effects on HEL
propagation performance is assessed at 1.0642 μm across the world's oceans, mapped on a 1° × 1° grid, and at 573 land
sites. The scenarios evaluated are primarily near-surface and horizontal over ranges up to 10000 meters. Seasonal and
boundary layer variations (summer and winter) for a range of relative humidity percentile conditions are considered. In
addition to realistic vertical profiles of molecular and aerosol absorption and scattering, correlated optical turbulence
profiles in probabilistic (percentile) format are used. Results indicate profound effects of elevated aerosol layers on HEL
engagements as compared to standard scenarios without elevated layers. Also, results suggest changing optical
properties to have additional significant effects.
HELEEOS includes a fast-calculating, first principles, worldwide surface to 100 km, atmospheric propagation and
characterization package. This package enables the creation of profiles of temperature, pressure, water vapor content,
optical turbulence, atmospheric particulates and hydrometeors as they relate to line-by-line layer transmission, path and
background radiance at wavelengths from the ultraviolet to radio frequencies. Physics-based cloud and precipitation
characterizations are coupled with a probability of cloud free line of sight (CFLOS) algorithm for air-to-air, air-tosurface,
and surface-to-air (or space) look angles. HELEEOS characterizes aerosol environments using the Advanced
Navy Aerosol Model (ANAM) or various representations of maritime particulates from the Global Aerosol Dataset
(GADS). In the lowest 50 m, HELEEOS defines optical turbulence with the Navy Surface Layer Optical Turbulence
(NSLOT) model. HELEEOS was developed under the sponsorship of the High Energy Laser Joint Technology Office.
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